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As numerous supporters in the UK focus on club early-season performances or discuss forthcoming fall test matches, the battle for World Cup 2027 qualifying continues at full pace.
Chile earned their back-to-back spot at the competition with a stunning qualifying win over Samoa last month, leaving only a single remaining spot to be claimed for Australia in two years. Meanwhile, the Paraguayan side surprised Brazil 39-19 in the first leg of their playoff.
The return match takes place on Saturday in JacareÃ, near São Paulo, as Brazil's men's team aims to follow their women's achievement and qualify for the first time.
Regardless of Paraguay completes a surprise aggregate victory, or Brazil bounces back following head coach Emiliano Caffera's recent dismissal, the participants for next month's qualifying event in Dubai will be confirmed. Namibia, Belgium, and the Samoan side have already secured spots for the Dubai-based competition from 8-18 November.
Several additional nations have likewise secured their spots. Hong Kong China achieved first-time qualification after defeating Korea 70-22 in the summer, and the Zimbabwean squad will make a comeback to the sport's most prestigious stage for the first occasion since 1991 by virtue of winning the Rugby Africa Cup.
The consequence of Chile's qualifying triumph means that Los Condores will face Italy for the first time next month during the autumn internationals, taking the place of Samoa who are obligated to participate in Dubai.
World Rugby's CEO described Chile an "exciting and rapidly rising force" in confirming the upcoming match in Genoa. As domestic the sport markets aim for increased attendance, rugby in Chile is thriving. A sell-out audience of over 20,000 witnessed the playoff victory in Viña del Mar, and manager the national coach has guided the team on an upward trajectory since taking over in 2018.
The 50-year-old former Uruguayan prop has been influencing the game for decades: recruited by the English club in the 1990s, he memorably broke through the English defense to touch down at the 2003 Rugby World Cup.
His influence as national coach has been equally powerful: Chile have climbed to seventeenth place, their best position. During the previous World Cup in France, they were beaten in all matches, conceding over two hundred points and scoring twenty-seven, featuring a heavy defeat against the English team.
However, they confidently found the positive aspects, and after the tournament draw in Sydney on 3 December, the coach can begin planning seriously. They faced the Scottish team previously, defeated 52-11 before 24,000 supporters, and although they were defeated across two legs by Uruguay in the initial 2027 playoff, they achieved a 21-18 away victory in Montevideo.
Samoa, in contrast, have not missed every Rugby World Cup since 1991, but are currently sitting in 16th place in the global rankings. They were without a victory in this year's regional tournament, leading to playoff misery against Chile, and the need to face nations such as Belgium adds additional challenge for the proud rugby nation.
Apart from specific teams' fortunes, it is important to consider how changed the expanded tournament will look in the next edition. For the first time, there will be a knockout stage with six pools of four instead of four groups of five teams. Group phase jeopardy is much lower because the top four third-place teams will additionally qualify.
The organizers, the Australian team, are now ranked seventh in the global rankings, meaning they would fall short on top seeding and could face either the Springboks, the All Blacks, Ireland, the French, the English, or the Pumas in Pool A. They may rise into the highest seeds during a busy November, however: England, Italy, Ireland, and France are their fixtures, with a match versus Japan in the capital additionally planned for 25 October.
The Welsh team, on the other hand, are balanced in twelfth place, with the Japanese side behind, and the consequences of dropping to 13th and into pot three are possibly severe.
Another fresh aspect for the next World Cup is the participation of five nations from the Americas: the Argentine team, the Uruguayan side, the United States, the Canadian team, and the Chilean squad – with either Paraguay or Brazil potentially making it six. From World Rugby's perspective, American interest is beneficial, particularly with the 2031 World Cup scheduled to be staged by the United States, and the selection process for the 2035 edition was launched recently.
For now, however. The second installment of Brazil versus Paraguay prepares a four-team qualifying contest, combined with a possible rankings shake-up throughout Europe in the coming month. No matter how things pan out, Chile's successful qualification for a second consecutive World Cup has undoubtedly made them as a clear success story.
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